If McCain Wins All Toss-Ups He Still loses!

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From: Freshl83

Date: 3rd Nov 08

Channel: News & Politics


Tom Brokaw with Chuck Todd on Meet the
Press, 11/2/08.

Brokaw:
And Chuck, what about voter turnout and
especially the organization of the two
campaigns getting their people to the
polls?

Todd: Well, we're
seeing a lot of the early voting, a lot
of long lines that's made folks question
whether Georgia, South Carolina could
end up being much closer than people
thought because of this surge among
voters, particularly African-Americans.
And of course we've watched everything
that's been happening in Florida and
North Carolina this weekend, Tom./>
Brokaw: And why would John
McCain be spending so much time in
Pennsylvania and New Hampshire in the
final weekend, Chuck?
/> Todd: Well, it's a simple math
problem that he's got. Heres our columns
here. Im going to put all of the current
tossup states in McCain's column and
watch his number as it grows right up
here. If you move all of these states
over, Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri,
Montana, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida,
and Nevada -- you see the problem he's
got. He's still at 252. 18 short. So
what does that mean? If he pulls a
Pennsylvania over, we see Obama goes
done to 265, McCain gets his 273. Then
you ask why New Hampshire? Thats the
insurance policy. Nevada, a state that
Obama right now has that narrow lead in,
if that went to him, then McCain would
need New Hampshire to get back over his
270. So it is the only path he's got
left. They know this and that's why they
had to figure out how to put
Pennsylvania back in play. We don't know
if it really is. We know he's spending a
lot of time there and they had to figure
out if New Hampshire, a state that's
been incredibly kind to McCain's
political career in the past, to see if
it can resurrect him one more time.